{"id":74,"date":"2006-03-29T21:51:02","date_gmt":"2006-03-29T19:51:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/?p=74"},"modified":"2012-09-08T10:10:58","modified_gmt":"2012-09-08T08:10:58","slug":"minards-birthday-challenge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/minards-birthday-challenge\/","title":{"rendered":"Minard&#8217;s birthday challenge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We got this from <a href=\"mailto:Pukelsheim@Math.Uni-Augsburg.De\">Friedrich<\/a> who is just finishing a sabbatical in Paris:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/rosuda.org\/~theus\/Blog\/leMonde.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\"  src=\"http:\/\/www.theusRus.de\/Blog-files\/leMondeSmall.jpg\"><\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<a href=\"mailto:friendly@yorku.ca\">Michael<\/a> came up with the idea of a challenge. Here&#8217;s what he wrote:<\/p>\n<p>\n<em><br \/>\nHere&#8217;s a graph you may find interesting, published yesterday<br \/>\nin <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/web\/infog\/0,47-0@2-3224,54-755523@51-725561,0.html\">Le Monde<\/a>. <br \/>\nThe manifest goal is to compare estimates of les manifestants at les manifestations according to the unions vs. the police throughout France. An admirable goal for a newspaper, and done with some sensitivity to graphic principles, in a style reminiscent of les Albums: color-coding key (but no scale), time-series sub-graph, numbers included for those who want\/need them.<\/p>\n<p>But what do we see, and is there anything we could see better by some other display or encoding of these numbers? Obviously, either the police in Paris can&#8217;t count or deliberately misrepresent things, or the unions there have enormously dilated pupils. Is the over-count ratio greater in Paris than in Marseilles? Were the police in Mont de Marsan all en cong&#8217;e? Is Dijon the place with the closest correspondence between the estimates? Presumably, they used count ~ area (or sqrt radius); should they have used a different power for better perceptual comparison? What is missing from this display? e.g, how did the turnout in Toulouse compare to that in Nante or Rennes, taking population into account? <br \/>\nbest,<br \/>\n-Michael<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><br \/>\n<\/em><br \/>\nYou can download the data <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theusRus.de\/Blog-files\/LeMonde.txt\">here<\/a>. Any comments are welcome and of course, any attempt of a better visualization will be posted here!<\/p>\n<p>Have fun!<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<hr height=\"1\">\n<p>\nHere are two posts:<\/p>\n<p>\nMichael sent this graphics:<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"http:\/\/www.theusRus.de\/Blog-files\/LeMondeM.gif\" width=\"275\" height=\"300\"><br \/>\nHe wrote:<br \/>\n<em><br \/>\n&#8220;Here is a simple log-log scatterplot that answers some of the questions posed<br \/>\noriginally. On a log scale, the relation is fairly linear, with a slope of 1.19, indicating that union estimates are<br \/>\non average about 154% of those by the police. I&#8217;ve labelled only those cities that have a log-residual greater than<br \/>\n0.15, and scaled the axes so that the line of equality is approx. 45 deg.&#8221;<br \/>\n<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\nRomain&#8217;s (updated) suggestion is:<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.theusRus.de\/Blog-files\/cpe-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"http:\/\/www.theusRus.de\/Blog-files\/cpe-2.png\" width=\"400\" height=\"400\"><\/a><br \/>\n<br \/>\n(See also his comment!)\n   <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We got this from Friedrich who is just finishing a sabbatical in Paris: Michael came up with the idea of a challenge. Here&#8217;s what he wrote: Here&#8217;s a graph you may find interesting, published yesterday in Le Monde. The manifest goal is to compare estimates of les manifestants at les manifestations according to the unions [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-74","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=74"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1510,"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74\/revisions\/1510"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=74"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=74"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.theusrus.de\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=74"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}