German Election 2013: 1. Strongholds
The German election is only four weeks away, so it might be worthwhile to take a look at the historic data from the elections in 2002, 2005 and 2009. Unfortunately, the voting districts are all but stable, such that a direct comparison is not trivial.
The maps show the voting districts, which where won by the either CDU/CSU, SPD or Die Linke (FDP or Bündnis 90/Die Grünen didn’t win any of the districts in the 3 last Bundestagswahlen). The lightest shade indicates “won in one election” … the darkest shade indicates “won in all three elections”.
What we see immediately is:
- The south is clearly dominated by CDU/CSU
- The only stronghold of the SPD is the center, i.e. Hesse and the Ruhr area
- Die Linke managed to get hold of parts of the former east
For the two major parties the messages is thus relatively clear. CDU/CSU should battle to win the north against the SPD, the SPD must battle to win the east from Die Linke.